IDF’s guard up: HizbAllah willing to strike

Posted: April 27, 2010 by Jonathan Boyko in Hezbollah, IDF, Israel, Lebanon, Middle East, Terrorism

In 2006, an Israeli artillery firing into southern Lebanon IDF officials on Israel’s northern border warn that Lebanese HizbAllah can attack at any moment, adding that the group still seeks revenge after assassination of HizbAllah mastermind Imad Mughniyeh:

Senior IDF officers stationed in the North fear that Hezbollah’sever-increasing motivation to avenge the assassination of its senior commander, Imad Mugniyeh, will manifest itself in an attack on Jewish and Israeli institutions overseas. The army is not ruling out the possibility of an attack along the Lebanese border either.

The army has recently conducted a number of drills aimed at testing the forces’ level of preparedness for a possible Hezbollah attack on Israeli targets – both military and civilian – with rockets, missiles or other weapons.

"Despite the fact that we cannot see the enemy in front of us, we are well aware that it exists and can act at any given moment," an army official said. "We are operating under the assumption that an incident can occur without us getting any warning from army intelligence. This is why we must maintain a high level or preparedness at all times."


AS WAS THE situation four years ago – during the Second Lebanon War – HizbAllah’s motivation and means to attacks are at the ready. Four years ago it’s their imprisoned brothers in Israel, this summer it could be Imad Mughniyeh and few years on it could be the Shebaa Farms, which the UN ruled to belong to Syria, while Lebanon claims it to itself. Besides Lebanese internal matters, HizbAllah’s Hassan Nasrallah supports Palestinian cause, particularly that of Hamas, supplying latter with firearms, rockets and training. Nasrallah, who pledged Israel’s destruction on several occasions, has the will and the power to inflict some damage on Israeli civilians.

On the other side of the equation, however, are the Lebanese. While outcries against HizbAllah following Israel’s 2006 campaign were largely muted by Nasrallah’s activists, the radical group lost some standing in Lebanese society, underscored by group’s poor performance on June 2009 elections – which reversed group’s success in 2005. The outrage against Nasrallah mounted, as he failed to distribute promised funds for the Lebanese to rebuild their homes, hiding in a bunker, while the population suffered. Despite Lebanese officials’ pledged to side with the organization in case of an Israeli attack, Nasrallah understands his position may weaken significantly in case of another escapade vis-a-vis Israel.


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